Research Summaries

Back Russia's Strategic Recalibration After the Ukraine Conflict: Implications for the Two Near-Peer Competitors Strategic Environment

Fiscal Year 2023
Division Research & Sponsored Programs
Department Naval Research Program
Investigator(s) Matovski, Aleksandar
Sponsor NPS Naval Research Program (Navy)
Summary This research will examine the evolving strategic partnership between Russia and China as near-peer, nuclear-armed adversaries for the U.S. in the wake of the war in Ukraine. It will focus on Russia's new security situation after the conflict in Ukraine, particularly how it might attempt to compensate for its depleted strategic capabilities and resources by partnering with China. The research will proceed along two parallel tracks. The first track will analyze how Russia's stance on its strategic partnership with China might develop, based on the conduct of the war in Ukraine, and the internal political situation in Russia. The second track will examine the scope and strategic implications of the increased dependence of Russia on China in two strategic realms: (1) the Russian defense industry; and (2) Russia's space program. This research will be conducted through a combined team effort of subject-matter experts on Russian strategic doctrines, capabilities, and behavior. The researchers will perform a rigorous analysis of the debates in the Russian literature, complementing and contextualizing this information through discussions with subject-matter experts in Washington, USSTRATCOM, and U.S. Space Command. The final report will provide a combined analytical assessment on the topic, and discuss the implications for the USN, DoD, and U.S. national security more broadly.
Keywords Nuclear Deterrence, Maritime Strategy, Naval Power
Publications Publications, theses (not shown) and data repositories will be added to the portal record when information is available in FAIRS and brought back to the portal
Data Publications, theses (not shown) and data repositories will be added to the portal record when information is available in FAIRS and brought back to the portal