Research Summaries

Back Advanced Concepts and Applications for Predictive Analytics in the Maritime Domain

Fiscal Year 2019
Division Research & Sponsored Programs
Department NPS Naval Research Program
Investigator(s) Johnson, Bonnie W.
Sponsor NPS Naval Research Program (Navy)
Summary Naval tactical operations could take a significant leap in progress with the aid of a real-time automated predictive analytics capability that provides predictions of second and third order effects of possible courses of action. This future capability would accompany current developments in the use of artificial intelligence (AI) and data analytics to improve battlespace knowledge and offer automated battle management aids (BMA) to the tactical warfighter. As the automated BMAs develop tactical course of action (COA) options, the predictive analytics capability could predict how the adversary might respond to each COA option. The predictive analytics capability could continue to “wargame” possible blue force/red force actions and responses—generating predictions of second and third order effects. These predictions offer the tactical warfighter a more strategic perspective in making tactical COA decisions. By performing this analysis using an automated aid with artificial intelligence, it allows the capability to support real-time decisions and to analyze great amounts of data (both sensor data and historical data) and handle highly complex tactical environments. This real-time wargaming translates into high order computations that would be impossible to be performed manually in the short reaction times given. NPS has conducted research for several years on the application of AI, Big Data, and cognitive analytics to improve situational awareness and develop tactical BMAs.

This NPS study proposes to develop a conceptual design of a tactical predictive analytics capability for the maritime domain using AI and data analytic methods.

Deliverables include aroject report: “Advanced Concepts and Applications for Predictive Analytics in the Maritime Domain”; analysis results in the form of briefings and reports; presentations; and possible publications or papers for conference proceedings
Keywords
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