Fiscal Year	2010
Division	School of International Graduate Studies
Department	National Security Affairs
Investigator(s)	Shore, Zachary H.
Sponsor	Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DoD)
Summary	This research project will deepen our understanding of the problems and prospects for humanistic approaches to prediction. Specifically, it will explore the ways in which states have forecast the actions of enemies and allies in foreign policy and military affairs. Secondarily, it will consider some of the potential limitations to quantitative methods, in order that past errors might not be repeated.
Keywords	Prediction Human Error
Publications	Publications, theses (not shown) and data repositories will be added to the portal record when information is available in FAIRS and brought back to the portal
Data	Publications, theses (not shown) and data repositories will be added to the portal record when information is available in FAIRS and brought back to the portal