Fiscal Year	2012
Division	Graduate School of Engineering & Applied Science
Department	Systems Engineering
Investigator(s)	Hernandez, Alejandro D.S.
Sponsor	Joint Chiefs of Staff (Joint)
Summary	Recent developments in the counterinsurgency (COIN) war in Afghanistan have provided opportunities for analytic teams to use PSOM in support of real-time COIN campaign analysis, risk assessment, and course of action (COA) evaluation. In this capacity, senior decision makers and operational commanders have found PSOM-supported war gaming to be an extremely useful tool that is well suited to the high degree of complexity and high level of ambiguity found in the COIN/IW environment Building on this success, mounting a concerted effort to capture other elements of the IW activity better suited to the anticipated future (post-Afghanistan COIN) shapers of Department of Defense resource demand is a prudent and timely move with relatively moderate risk. The proposed effort would develop security force assistance (SFA)/counterterrorism (CT) and force structure analytic modules for the Peace Support Operations Model (PSOM). The general approach to developing tools for war gaming SFA/CT missions and analyzing force sufficiency will focus on analyzing a known and well-documented scenario, developing the statistical techniques to make an irregular warfare (IW) war-game analysis repeatable, then incorporating the process into PSOM. Objectives are to develop a robust and repeatable force structure sufficiency assessment capability, to begin research and analysis of SFA and other 'small-footprint' missions for inclusion within PSOM, and to evaluate integration of this capability into the OZ toolkit.
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