Research Summaries

Back Modeling and Simulation Tool to Enhance and Explore the ROE Design Space for NLW

Fiscal Year 2019
Division Research & Sponsored Programs
Department NPS Naval Research Program
Investigator(s) Hall, Steven B.
Sponsor NPS Naval Research Program (Navy)
Summary The objective of this research is to build and deliver, to the JNLWD, a tool that will recommend optimizing non-lethal-weapon (NLW) Rules of Engagements (ROEs) that are both effective in managing hostile crowds and minimize the loss of security force (and/or State) legitimacy.

The research will build upon an existing tool called WRENCH v2.2 (Workbench for refining Rules of ENgagement against Crowd Hostilities). This effort will: enhance the underlying crowd behavior model; refine the NLW effects model; expand the range of modellable crowd scenarios; and automate the search for viable/practical optimizing ROEs.

WRENCH’s key crowd behavior modeling foundation leverages a multi-agent complex adaptive generative social science approach. One of the key contributions of this work is a clear delineation of the combined temporally-dynamic psychological (cognitive) and sociological (network) influences of fear and anger on emergent crowd behavior. Security Force legitimacy is seen as being highly correlated with what the crowd perceives/cognizes as ‘excessive force’.

This Spiral 2 WRENCH development plan will be structured by the sequential achievement of five milestones: 1) Crowd Behavior Enhancement 2) NLW Effects Enhancement 3) ISR (Sensor) Impacts Enhancement 4) ROE Specification Enhancement 5) Optimization Tool Enhancement.

A 'WRENCH Spiral II Reference Manual' will also be produced that describes both the underlying model(s) (along with academic/scientific source references) and a basic 'User Installation and Use Guide'.

The project will provide three progressively capable WRENCH software deliverables closely tied to the above WRENCH development milestones: Deliverable 1: Milestone 1&2 at 2-person-months; Deliverable 2: Milestone 3&4 at 4-person-months; Deliverable 3: Milestone 5 + Reference Manual at 6-person-months. The project also includes one trip to the customer’s site to support tool installation and training.
Keywords
Publications Publications, theses (not shown) and data repositories will be added to the portal record when information is available in FAIRS and brought back to the portal
Data Publications, theses (not shown) and data repositories will be added to the portal record when information is available in FAIRS and brought back to the portal