Fiscal Year	2023
Division	Research & Sponsored Programs
Department	Naval Research Program
Investigator(s)	Giammarco, Kristin M.
Sponsor	NPS Naval Research Program (Navy)
Summary	This research applies the Monterey Phoenix approach and tool to a sponsor-selected system behavior problem and shows the sponsor how to expose and control unanticipated and unwanted behaviors in it early. NPS faculty and students meet with subject matter experts in the sponsor's workforce, and guide them in the use of MP to find unwanted behaviors before they occur in deployed systems, reducing program risk and risk to operators in the Fleet. This research explores the following question: what is the ideal human-machine partnership for exposing and controlling emergent behaviors and discovering undocumented requirements and assumptions? The research will employ a five-week virtual format in which DOD-affiliated interns or sponsor-selected employees learn the MP language and a methodology for exposing and controlling emergent behaviors on system(s) of interest to the sponsor. The participants will work under the mentorship of subject matter experts - usually volunteers from the sponsoring agency who are familiar with the system requirements - and MP coaches from NPS, to produce system use cases in search of emergent behaviors leading to the discovery of requirements. The five-week program concludes with a showcase presentation to senior leaders and invited guests, at which the participants outbrief their models and findings to the sponsor and other attendees. This project deploys intuitive tools for enabling commands to conduct quick, iterative, exhaustive, and inexpensive analyses (e.g., risk, cost, schedule, performance) that inform decision making at all levels of acquisition (https://nps.edu/mp). The deliverables include a poster of the methodology used to expose and control emergent behaviors using Monterey Phoenix, an executive summary report, and an NRP poster of the project.
Keywords	Monterey Phoenix, decision making, anticipating unwanted behavior, readiness, risk analysis, cost analysis, schedule analysis, performance analysis
Publications	Publications, theses (not shown) and data repositories will be added to the portal record when information is available in FAIRS and brought back to the portal
Data	Publications, theses (not shown) and data repositories will be added to the portal record when information is available in FAIRS and brought back to the portal