Fiscal Year	2008
Division	Graduate School of Engineering & Applied Science
Department	Meteorology
Investigator(s)	Harr, Patrick A.
Sponsor	Colorado State University (Other)
Summary	The overall objective of the collaborative effort is to improve the Wind Probability Estimation Program utilized by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction's Tropical Prediction Center. Specifically, the collaborators will improve the current Monte Carlo model by a) refining the probability estimates by incorporating storm specific measures of track uncertainty; b) optimizing code to make probability products timelier; c) modify probability distribution code to provide updates to existing National Hurricane Center experimental products. The partners will continually analyze and evaluate the modifications to the Wind Probability Estimation Program and identify areas of improvement.
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Publications	Publications, theses (not shown) and data repositories will be added to the portal record when information is available in FAIRS and brought back to the portal
Data	Publications, theses (not shown) and data repositories will be added to the portal record when information is available in FAIRS and brought back to the portal