Research Summaries

Back Estimating the Value of Options in the Roll Out of Advanced Capabilities Build 12 in an Open Architecture Environment

Fiscal Year 2009
Division Graduate School of Operational & Information Sciences
Department Information Sciences
Investigator(s) Housel, Thomas J.
Sponsor Program Executive Office, Integrated Warfare Systems (Navy)
Summary The project will be divided into three phases. PEO-IWS 1 may stop the project at the end of every phase, delay the state of decide to continue on to the next phase immediately.
Phase I is an ROI valuation and implementation of a project selected by PEO-IWS 1 personnel. This project will culminate to include a report detailing the KVA+RO analysis for IWS upgrades using an OA approach. The results of this work will provide management with the capability to interpret ongoing ROI analysis on OA processes as well as the means for valuing strategic real options, identifying and selecting projects, quantifying and mitigating risks for IWS development and acquisition processes enabled through the use of the OA approach. The RO analyses will include Monte Carlo Risk Simulation and project portfolio optimization and selection of the RO models based on parameter distributions derived the KV analysis. The ongoing use of the KVA+RO methodology will enable continuous refinements of the option lattices based on changes to the KVA data over time.
Keywords
Publications Publications, theses (not shown) and data repositories will be added to the portal record when information is available in FAIRS and brought back to the portal
Data Publications, theses (not shown) and data repositories will be added to the portal record when information is available in FAIRS and brought back to the portal