Research Summaries

Back The Running Estimate (RE) for the MEF Command Element

Fiscal Year 2019
Division Research & Sponsored Programs
Department NPS Naval Research Program
Investigator(s) Godin, Arkady A.
Sponsor NPS Naval Research Program (Navy)
Summary “MAGTF IE Ops COE” publication defines RE as “not synonymous with or a replacement for the COP/CTP, and is better thought of as the analytical “engine” within an IBMCS which enables the MAGTF to coherently plan, conduct, and assess operations in and through a contested information environment. Additionally, the IE Ops running estimate is a distributed capability used by the whole-of-MAGTF”.
Big Data Model (BDM), under NRP topic NPS-18-M173B, guides MAGTF architecture to enable ingesting, “fusing, analyzing, and using disparate intelligence and other information about the IE.” IBMCS lacks model and architecture. Investing into IMBCS RE without BDM to address such gap puts it under significant risk.
The study’s report will focus on IE Ops RE component’s design of dissemination data model to feed Valuable Information at the Right Time (VIRT) to “the common operational picture/common tactical picture (COP/CTP), integrated mission planning tools, C2 systems, and mission assessment and feedback mechanisms”. The study’s report will describe how RE component gets integrated with the BDM to enable AI ecosystem “to sense, understand, and act effectively”. The report will include the description of VIRT data structures RE must include into its dissemination model. It will also present RE dissemination dataflow to the whole-of-MAGTF including major subordinate commands, the MEF staff (e.g., Principal & Special Staff Sections), and the MAGTF’s C2 centers.
The report will describe how RE pulls/pushes information from/to National, Combatant Command, and Joint Force authoritative sources, as well as any MAGTF C2 center involved in planning or executing IE Ops and organize this information to address “the need for a commander to have a single “place” to go and gain or maintain a comprehensive understanding of the information environment, and to rapidly determine options for changing course, or engaging in new actions to achieve objectives in and through the IE.”
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