To compare and
contrast the four alternatives selected by SEA-8 we considered when a given
probability of achieving initial detection on RED submarines would be
established. Given our specific
scenario modeling, the following curves were generated. The specific modeling
results shown here provide insight into real-world performance. The relative
magnitudes may be used to compare how the alternatives might perform. (CLICK)
Tripwire and War of Machines achieve an 80% probability of initially
detecting an enemy submarine within the first 130 hours of the scenario. (CLICK) Whereas, Sea TENTACLE and
the Littoral Action Group alternatives require about 100 more hours of
scenario timeline before they reach the same milestone. (CLICK) Also,
of note on this graph, is that the performance of each alternative is
warning-time sensitive. For example,
if Sea TENTACLE or the Littoral Action Group could arrive in area earlier and
be on-station prior to Red’s departure from port then their detection of Red
submarines would be as decisive as the other alternatives. (CLICK) |